Posts Tagged ‘2010 investing’

Investing outlook – 2010

Thursday, March 11th, 2010

For most investors, 2009 was a year hopes of economic recovery sent stocks, even those of some of the most troubled companies soaring. In 2010, the continuing rebound will have a strong influence on investors as Wall Street bets on the direction of the economy, interest rates and inflation. Smart stock-picking is the name of the game and investors must focus on strong individual results of companies, such as unexpected earnings and sales growth, as good bets for the rest of the year.

Orion Marine Group, Inc (NYSE: ORN) is a good pick for any portfolio. Orion Marine, which is the third-largest marine construction company in the United States, does dredging, builds bridges, expands ports and other projects. The company can boost its revenue significantly due to bigger funding increases from the Army Corps of Engineers, which is a major client, plus the need for larger ports in the Caribbean and Southeast. The company’s market capitalization is $469.45 million and its projected 2010 earnings growth is 18%, up from 16.9% in 2009.

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has been on fire lately, reaching multiple new highs over the past week, but while it might make sense to buy the stock in anticipation of a peak on the iPad’s April 3 launch date, it’s current price of $224 isn’t exactly cheap. According to The Street, There are a few tech stocks that allow investors to ride on the coattails of Apple, such as Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM), AT&T (NYSE: T), SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) and OmniVision (NASDAQ: OVTI).

Discovery Communications Inc., (NASDAQ: DISCA) is another attractive investment play for 2010. Discovery Communications operates cable channels, including Discovery, Discovery Kids, the Learning Channel, Planet Green, Military Channel, FitTV and Animal Planet. The company also plans to jointly own and operate Oprah Winfrey’s new cable channel. The company has thrived in these tough economic times, due in part, to its rapid expansion into international markets such as Brazil and Mexico.

On the global scene, China’s worth serious consideration and some of its companies are attractive investment alternatives for any portfolio. Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU), a Beijing-based search engine company, has 60% of the market share in China. Though the stock is currently trading at $551, it is attractive because the search engine business in China is nascent and growing in leaps and bounds. For example, last year, 289 million Chinese used the Internet, up 41.9% from 2008, that is only a third of the country’s population.

Another play in China is RINO International, (NASDAQ: RINO), based in Dalian in Liaoning Province, produces environmental protection equipment for the iron and steel industry. It is well poised to capitalize on the infrastructure build-out currently occurring in China. Beijing has set plans to increase sludge processing capacity to 30 million tons a years and plans to have at least 60% of its wastewater treated by the end of 2010. RINO is expecting to capitalize on that trend with a second contract worth $500 million to come by the end of 2010.

Janet Shan

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Where to invest in 2010?

Monday, December 14th, 2009

The long-term economic outlook remains gloomy, but stocks should advance in 2010. Though 2009 had you on the edge of your seat, with the longest and steepest recession since World War II, gross domestic product eked out a modest growth of 3.5% in the third quarter. The stock market, which bottomed on March 9, 2009, soared 60% in the last seven months. For 2010, the growth will be anemic, with GDP predicted to be between two and three percent.

Investing in blue chip stocks is always a safe bet for any portfolio. Look for blue chip companies with strong foreign sales on their balance sheets, as well as those with a presence in China. Companies fitting this criterion include Apple Inc. (AAPL), Nike Inc. (NKE), Procter & Gamble (PG) and Monsanto Co. (MON).

Commodities such as oil and iron are traded globally and are priced in dollars. Demand from emerging markets, along with a weak dollar, will drive up prices, making this sector attractive in 2010. Natural resource producers will benefit significantly from these market trends. Players in this sector include Halliburton Company (HAL), Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI) and National Oilwell Varco Inc. (NOV).

Many investors are understandably skittish about the health of the U.S. dollar and other major currencies. Gold is a great choice to balance out any portfolio. Companies such as Barrick Gold (ABX) and Newmont Mining (NEM) are power plays. Not to be ignored, silver may outshine gold in 2010, as spot prices for the white metal rise due to a surge in industrial demand. Silver inventories will be replenished by the traditional industrial end users such as the electronics industry and that could take up to six months or more. Additionally, new market places for silver will be created, such as the demand for silver-zinc batteries used in “smart” automobiles. Silver Standard Resources Inc. (SSRI) is one player in the mining of silver.

Lastly, health care is an enormous and growing domestic industry. The focus should be on companies that benefit significantly from cost reduction and expanded insurance coverage, as these will be players in 2010. These companies include Quest Diagnostics (DGX), which provides testing services and drug distributor, McKesson Corporation (MCK). If investing in the individual stocks isn’t what you are looking for, then consider mutual funds that invest in those stocks.

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Moving Forward: Predictions for 2010

Monday, December 14th, 2009

After a grueling 2009, people around the world are looking to 2010 with hope, but hope seems to remain elusive. Though officially most of the world’s economies have begun to grow again, there is still a lot of economic pain in the foreseeable future.

The good news is that the US stock market is back up about 50%, though still 25% off its highs in 2007. The US stock market usually predicts how the US economy will fare 6-12 months in the future, so if this is any indication 2010 will mark a slow economic climb out of the pit. People can at least exhale and take comfort in the fact that at least the economy has stopped shrinking.

Unemployment will slow the recovery, as it hampers consumer spending, and the excess housing and manufactured goods will contain inflation and wages. Credit is still hard to come by, which will hit small businesses the hardest, another indicator that the economic recovery will remain lackluster into 2010. Taking into account people working part time who would rather be working full time and people who have given up looking all together, the true unemployment rate is closer to 18%. So it will be a long, slow climb through next year with fits of growth and plenty of setbacks.

Still, there is good news. IT companies are likely to do well, as businesses seek to utilize software to make the employees they retained more productive. Online enterprises will allow some of those who were let go to start new businesses for next to nothing, and this is the real wave of the future. The Internet will drive the recovery in 2010.

Some people are still talking about the possibility of a double dip recession, with the economy shrinking again in 2010, albeit more slowly. This is a possibility, especially if the economic supports put in place by governments to keep the economy from falling apart are scrapped too soon. If governments (aka taxpayers) are able to continue to support the world’s economies, we will escape this.

As for investing, commodities are likely to be strong, especially gold and silver. First Solar (FSLR) looks to be a good investment for 2010, though its prospects look hazier into 2011 due to competition from China and lack of incentives for consumers. With continuing international pressure to green the US economy, this may change next year. Medco Health Solutions (NYSE: MHS) looks like a good bet too, as it posted better than expected profits for the third quarter and announced projections for 20% growth in the next year. The maker of generic drugs has secured $4 billion in new business for 2010 and has retained 99% of its clientele, making it look very promising next year. Genpact (NYSE: G), an offshoot of General Electric (NYSE: GE), may be a bit riskier, as it is still sucking from GE’s tit for nearly half of its 2008 revenues. Still, Genpact offers IT solutions that enable businesses to keep costs low.

Two stocks to stay away from in the coming year are the New York Times (NYSE: NYT) and Garmin Limited (Nasdaq: GRMN). They are both moving towards obsolescence.

The New York Times and other newspapers are being supplanted by online news organizations. Since its stock price bottomed on March 9, 2009, it has skyrocketed 131%. As advertising is down, costs can be cut no further, and print media in general suffers from an identity crisis, look for the New York Times’ stock price to flounder next year. Though eventually their online business may save the organization, it does not make up a significant part of it yet for the newspaper to turn a profit.

Garmin Unlimited, the leading makers of GPS systems in automobiles in the US, rose 79% from March 9. This only means it has that much further to fall. With the auto market showing no signs of picking up, its sales are set to be flat in the New Year. With cell phones and Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) offering GPS services for free, there seems little hope that Garmin will survive past the end of 2010.

All in all, prospects for a prosperous 2010 look better than 2009, but looking back on the year that was, it really does not mean very much…

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Renewable Energy Set to Take Off in 2010

Monday, December 14th, 2009

With the cap-and-trade debate raging, the opportunity exists for energy companies to create their own sector-specific carbon trading platform as a way to mitigate the attempts by legislators and policymakers to create legislation in 2010. A cap and trade system is a method for managing pollution, with the end goal of reducing overall pollution in a nation, region or industry. For 2010, renewable energy production is expected to intensify in the Middle East and North Africa, two places known for fossil fuels.

The geographic and demographic conditions in both areas are ideal for a new type of renewable leadership. Africa and the Middle East have climates conducive to renewable energy production — hot temperature with significant sea breezes during the day and a close proximity to the developed population centers of Europe.

The Cleantech Index (AMEX: CTIUS) and Next Generation Energy Index (NYSE: NGX) are two ways investors can capitalize on this growing sector.

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The Twitter Effect

Monday, December 14th, 2009

Few would disparage the growing potential of online social media in 2010 and in the years to come. Yet many businesses have only a vague idea about how to harness this powerful tool for business purposes. This will change in 2010. In fact, it is already changing. Some businesses already advertise for people who know their way around online social networking sites, understanding instinctively that engaging “experts” in this burgeoning field will help them increase their client base.

These online communities have begun to alter the way companies trade, and social media has played an ever greater role in the past few years bringing people together for business. In 2010 we will see a melding of all manner of social media, as Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebook, YouTube, and others increasingly interact with each other. Google (NASDAQ: Goog) will move this integration forward, and Google Wave, their new concept of an integrated social tool combined with real time communication, will be the new big thing for 2010. Google already controls YouTube, and it is a safe bet that it will begin to invest in other social media sites that it can incorporate into its own social media platform.

Marketing

Whether for multi-national corporations, small businesses, or individuals, the social media phenomenon allows easy access to customers and a means whereby a producer can market its products and services quickly and with minimal expense. The growth of Twitter has shown how networks can be easily grown, offering information to ever-expanding networks of potential customers. By sharing links to websites, a person can easily find out more about products and services, and purchase them, without even leaving their desk.

As the use of social media marketing grows, we will see ever more clever advertising to engage and persuade potential customers to buy. Traditional advertisers will move more dollars online, and advertising on other forms of media will wane.

Media

As newspapers, magazines, television, radio, and other media merge with each other and go online, the lines between different types of media companies will blur. Time Warner’s (NYSE: TWX) CNN already offers news blogs, many written by citizen reporters. Citizen reporters will become increasingly important, and though many will lament the death of the professional journalist, there will still be a place for those professionals who can cross the lines between television, radio, print, and online media. Journalism will not die; it will morph into something new.

Movies, however, will not die in 2010. Neither television nor the development of video, or later DVDs, killed the movie theaters. Downloading of movies from the Internet may very well take business away from physical video stores, instead moving this business completely online.

Customer Service

Companies with social media presences will allow conversations to develop between themselves and their customers. Usually this will be a good thing, allowing consumers to help companies make products or develop services that become increasingly more consumer friendly. People will become attached to certain providers, depending on their preferences, and niches will develop that will provide a more directed outlet for customer service.

For example, a person with young children will go to those social media sites where they can meet others with young children, and makers of children’s products can offer sponsored advice on all aspects of raising children. In the same manner too gamers can go to sites where they can get hints for their favorite online games, and the makers for those games can offer support. In this respect, look at the lines between customer service and marketing to become increasingly more hazy.

Social media also levels the playing field between large corporations, smaller business entities, and individuals. If something goes wrong in a business relationship, consumers will increasingly use social media to get their complaints heard. State Farm is finding this out the hard way, as a widow who claims that she was unfairly treated by the company has set up a website and consistently tweets her story to thousands. Customer service becomes increasingly important when an unhappy customer can spread their bad experience around the globe in minutes.

Virtualization of Business

The way employees work will change dramatically in the coming year due to social media. Meetings and conventions will become fewer as companies seek to save money by having virtual meetings in virtual worlds. Microblogging will become a common way to communicate between employees, and cell phones will become increasingly more a part of this communication. Social networking will create groups of people working together on projects, and it will not matter whether they are in the next room or on the other side of the world. Blogs will become training manuals, and will be updated regularly. They will also be utilized as marketing tools, as they are now, though blogging specialists will develop to fashion tools to help employees become ever more productive.

Other Stuff

Social media has not limited its reach only to business. In 2008, President Obama showed how social media can drive a campaign. Look for the Republicans to take a page from this book and use it to their advantage in the 2010 Congressional elections next year. We also saw this year how Twitter helped protesters in Iran organize against a repressive regime. Look for this type of use of technology to increase and to make people around the world freer.

Non-profit organizations have also used social media to get out their message and to raise funds. This will increase, as will their presence online as they use their social networking sites to educate the public.

All of these social media trends and more will influence society, business and the markets in 2010 and beyond.

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Emerging Markets Will Bring Big 2010 Profits for Prudent Investors

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

Both the fundamentals and technicals point to a very bullish 2010 forecast for the emerging markets, which is backed up by recent presentations.

For example, recently the World Bank raised its growth forecast in China for 2010. The strength of regions like China and Latin America really was crucial to powering through the worst of this global recession. While a single consumer in Brazil or Beijing doesn’t really compare to the purchasing power of a single American, the collective spending of a booming middle class in these emerging markets is huge.

Global Opportunities in 2010

Some emerging market stocks that look really good for 2010 include Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM), American Tower (AMT), CNOOC (CEO) and American Tower (AMT). All of these stocks have tremendous fundamentals and are attractive buys for 2010.

There are also two great exchange traded funds like iShares S&P Global Materials Sector Index Fund (MXI) and the iShares Emerging Market Trust (EEM) as a way to capitalize on the strength of the international stocks with far less volatility. The one I really like best is the EEM exchange traded fund. It’s in a strong price uptrend that is being confirmed by an up sloping On Balance Volume indicator.

The bottom line is the emerging market stock and ETFs are poised for growth in 2010. Cheers and Happy Investing!

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2010 stock picks and trading tips

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

Resolve this New Year to trade smarter, to pick better, to stay in it for the long haul. And resolve, as the New Year rolls around, to make investments that, unlike the volatile market, will remains strong in an unpredictable world economy. If you’re not sure what you’re getting into moving toward January 2010, take heart—plenty of investors are in the same boat! However, there are near certainties in the market, as touch and go as it may seem, that you can bank on. Don’t break your resolution early due to a lack of preparation! Here’s a list of our tips and picks for 2010.

TIP 1—RESEARCH! Oftentimes, individuals who are new to trading will make picks on the basis of what the guy on TV says, a friend’s recommendation, or a prominent website’s position. The fact is, market veterans do the same. Don’t fall into the trap. Research your picks for 2010, and learn about the investment history of companies that you’re on the fence about.

TIP 2—TREND TRACKING. The stocks simply do not change overnight. A series of highs and lows, investment decisions, company history, and unexpected news can make or break a company poised for success. Look closely at where market confidence lies over a period of time, and choose wisely on the basis of trends you’ve followed for a time.

TIP 3—GET ORGANIZED. If your investments are not laid out in a way that you understand, and if they’re not easy to manage, you stand to lose money in the New Year. Use a tax manager to ensure that you’re not making costly mistakes, keep your trades in a spreadsheet, and make sure that you update your positions daily or weekly. Don’t let a lack of organization cause you to make poor decisions.

PICK 1—GENERAL ELECTRIC (GE). GE is a safe bet for any person looking toward the long term. While it had a substantial downturn in March (like most stocks), it has remained steady over the last few months of 2009 and is poised for growth.

PICK 2—GOOGLE (GOOG). Google is another market standard that, after severe losses following the downturn, will pick up as it introduces more technology, courts a worldwide user base, and innovates the way the web is viewed. Don’t expect Google to go away any time soon.

PICK 3—BEST BUY (BBY). Who says technology isn’t going anywhere? The past half decade has separated the wheat from the chaff where tech retailers are concerned, and Best Buy has proven its dominance on the consumer end.

PICK 4—NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS (NUAN). In 2010, Nuance will be hot. This communications company has a stake in voice recognition tech which, believe it or not, will become more important over the next couple of years. A great long-term choice.

PICK 5—FLIR SYSTEMS (FLIR). Flir is coming back up! After a dramatic downturn, this company involved in infrared technology and thermal imaging looks to make 2010 a banner year. Rising orders make Flir a decent gamble for the New Year.

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