Posts Tagged ‘gold stocks’

Where to invest in 2010?

Monday, December 14th, 2009

The long-term economic outlook remains gloomy, but stocks should advance in 2010. Though 2009 had you on the edge of your seat, with the longest and steepest recession since World War II, gross domestic product eked out a modest growth of 3.5% in the third quarter. The stock market, which bottomed on March 9, 2009, soared 60% in the last seven months. For 2010, the growth will be anemic, with GDP predicted to be between two and three percent.

Investing in blue chip stocks is always a safe bet for any portfolio. Look for blue chip companies with strong foreign sales on their balance sheets, as well as those with a presence in China. Companies fitting this criterion include Apple Inc. (AAPL), Nike Inc. (NKE), Procter & Gamble (PG) and Monsanto Co. (MON).

Commodities such as oil and iron are traded globally and are priced in dollars. Demand from emerging markets, along with a weak dollar, will drive up prices, making this sector attractive in 2010. Natural resource producers will benefit significantly from these market trends. Players in this sector include Halliburton Company (HAL), Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI) and National Oilwell Varco Inc. (NOV).

Many investors are understandably skittish about the health of the U.S. dollar and other major currencies. Gold is a great choice to balance out any portfolio. Companies such as Barrick Gold (ABX) and Newmont Mining (NEM) are power plays. Not to be ignored, silver may outshine gold in 2010, as spot prices for the white metal rise due to a surge in industrial demand. Silver inventories will be replenished by the traditional industrial end users such as the electronics industry and that could take up to six months or more. Additionally, new market places for silver will be created, such as the demand for silver-zinc batteries used in “smart” automobiles. Silver Standard Resources Inc. (SSRI) is one player in the mining of silver.

Lastly, health care is an enormous and growing domestic industry. The focus should be on companies that benefit significantly from cost reduction and expanded insurance coverage, as these will be players in 2010. These companies include Quest Diagnostics (DGX), which provides testing services and drug distributor, McKesson Corporation (MCK). If investing in the individual stocks isn’t what you are looking for, then consider mutual funds that invest in those stocks.

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Look for the gold market to regain its momentum in 2010

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

Despite the recent retracement in the gold market there still is much more upside based on a very robust fundamental outlook. Consider: According to Bernanke’s latest comments the Federal Reserve does not plan on raising interest rates anytime soon, and huge deficits will be here for a while. This certainly leads to a continued bullish scenario for gold. In addition, you have countries like China, Russia and India increasing their gold purchasing plans for 2010.

Given this outlook there are a handful of fundamentally superior stocks within the gold sector that are poised to do quite well when gold takes off again. These include: GoldCorp (GG), Freeport-McMoran Gold & Copper (FCX), Gulf Resources (GFRE), and IAMGOLD Corp (IAG). All these stocks have great sales growth and positive cash flow but one that really stands out as a great buy is GoldCorp (GG).

GoldCorp is one of the largest precious-metal mining companies in the world, operating mainly in Canada and South America. The company produces more than 2.3 million ounces of gold annually and has about 45 million ounces in proved and probable reserves. What makes this company such a good buy is its tremendous operating margins. It costs GoldCorp $310 per ounce to mine gold, which is the lowest of all its competitors. As the uptrend in gold prices starts to resume again these low production costs spells huge profit growth for the company going forward (as well as a nice surge in the stock price).

Another way to invest in this secular uptrend is to invest in the exchange traded fund SPDR Gold Trust (GLD). The GLD price is in an uptrend and this uptrend is being confirmed by the up sloping On balance Volume (OBV) indicator. The up trending OBV indicator shows that volume is increasing on price up days and is decreasing on down days, which bolsters the technical case for the price uptrend to continue.

Combining this attractive technical profile with the solid fundamental picture for the gold sector renders this particular ETF a compelling buy and certainly is an effective way to capture profits from the continued uptrend with far less volatility.

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