Posts Tagged ‘TheStreet.com’

TheStreet.com – Headlines of Interest

Monday, February 15th, 2010

U.S. Department of Transportation Tentatively Approves American Airlines & British Airways Alliance

The Department of Transportation has tentatively approved American Airlines, British Airways and fellow Oneworld Alliance partners Iberia Airlines, Finnair and Royal Jordanian Airlines bid to expand their trans-Atlantic operations. According to thestreet.com, the proposed agreement would create a unified network of about 500 possible destinations in more than 100 countries. The carriers can jointly price, market and schedule international flights in their alliance without committing any antitrust violations that could lead to prosecution, provided that they agreed to cede to rival airlines four pairs of takeoff and landing slots at the United Kingdom’s Heathrow Airport.

American Airlines, a subsidiary of AMR Corp., British Airways and Iberia Airlines intend to create and operate a joint venture between the U.S., Mexico, Canada, the European Union, Switzerland and Norway. The obvious benefits of this alliance include lower fares on more routes for customers and better schedules. The alliance could have a negative effect on competition on some routes between the United States and Heathrow airport. The deal could also give the partners a dominant market position on routes between Heathrow and U.S. destinations like Dallas-Fort Worth, Boston and Miami. Alliances have become a viable alternative for air carriers who are struggling amid a downturn in air traffic. Many carriers are scrambling to reduce operating costs and are actively seeking new revenue streams.

There are similar trans-Atlantic partnerships in operation such as Lufthansa, Continental Airlines, United Air Lines and Air Canada of the Star Alliance and some members of the SkyTeam, Air France-KLM and Delta Air Lines. The Department of Transportation is allowing for a 60-day comment period before it makes its tentative approval decision final.

PetMed Express is a Good Defensive Addition to any Stock Portfolio

PetMed Express, on online pet-prescription retailer, has increased profit for 11 consecutive quarters and has been called a model of consistency. According to thestreet.com, during the last three years the company, based in Pompano Beach, Fla., has boosted revenue 15% annually. This is a good addition to the portfolio of any investor looking for a defensive play, especially in this economic climate.

PetMed is off to a good start in 2010, after it hit a speed bump last October following the release of fiscal second-quarter results. The stock has rallied eight percent in 2010, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 3.7% and as the S&P 500 fell 4.2%. PetMed’s fiscal third-quarter net income jumped 14% to $5.6 million and earnings per share climbed 19% to 25 cents. The company’s operating margin has held steady at 17%.

PetMed, which bills itself as America’s largest pet pharmacy, market capitalization is $442,300 million and its shares closed Friday at $19.35, with a P/E ratio of 17.26%. The company pays a dividend yield of 2.07%. With the spending on pet medicine expected to increase over time, PetMed is well positioned to participate in any increase in the pet medicine market as a whole, as well as gain market share. The company, despite the United States being in a recession, attracted 802,000 new customers in 2009 vs. 710,000 in 2008. It is also highly unlikely that pet owners, who use PetMed, will actively shop around for pet medicine. The company, which is a market leader with the lowest prices, offers its customers a quick and easy platform for repeat purchases.

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Starbucks: A short bounce to a longer upswing?

Friday, February 12th, 2010

After the 2009 rollercoaster of layoffs, store closures, and Via instant coffee, Starbucks (SBUX) turned in a stunning first quarter earnings that now seem ripe for contrarian action. At the end of January, 18.81M shares were shorted.

Cynical investors might call this move less contrarian wisdom and more quick-profit bounce. After all, while December’s quarterly gross profits jumped to $241.5M from the previous year’s $64.3M earnings, history still indicates the company has some climbing left to do before matching the almost $5.8B earnings reported in September, 2008. Long-term holders might also be tempted to follow the shorts after glancing at a $22 share price and a $29.96 P/E ratio.

It’s certainly reasonable to ask whether this stock can continue its yearly upward run from a $9.41 share price past its current $22.59 price as of February 11, 2010. Shall we ignore the contrarians or leap onto the haymaking wagon as it trundles by?

Perhaps. But before jumping, consider whether this short bounce might actually be an ill-conceived bet against an inevitable ascent.

Last month, The Next Web reported on the company’s social media efforts to gain and retain an even greater customer base. The numbers are quite imposing.

• Almost 777,000 followers on Twitter
• Over 5.7 million fans on Facebook
• Over 5,000 subscribers to Starbucks YouTube

What’s more impressive is how this 16.8B market cap giant effectively uses these tools to create a individualized fan experience. Twitter answers questions, retweets comments, announces free drink samples, and new iPhone apps while Facebook is used for video uploads, blog posts, event invites, and fan forum discussions. For the geek enthusiasts, Starbucks YouTube has videos on anything from coffee blends to the company’s history to various charity work, including the recent Haiti relief effort.

There’s even a My Starbucks Idea forum where customers can suggest and vote on new ideas while the Ideas in Action Starbucks blog, tells customers what the company’s actually doing with the winning proposals.

Time will tell whether all the social media hype and pizzazz will convert these statistics into actual cash sales. But before writing all of it off as a cynical effort to further push over-priced, burnt coffee on clueless customers, consider one last point.

Not too long ago, hitting the local Starbucks was one of the easiest luxuries to dump for financially-pressed consumers. Now it’s roared back in true contrarian fashion, as one of the few affordable perks in a continued recessionary grind.

Short at your own risk.

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Cloudy Focus

Friday, February 12th, 2010

On Feb 5th, I saw Jim Cramer’s “Mad Money.” For the record I think Jim’s show is great (that’s right we are on a first name basis). It is rare to find a financial show that can educate and entertain on a consistent basis and Jim has clearly mastered this.

During this episode he talked about the current earnings season results and how many of the companies were blowing away the estimates. My sentiment is analysts have been watering down earnings estimates, since the economy is such a tough spot. This watered down effect makes it much easier for companies to surpass earnings estimates. In my opinion the majority of companies that are surpassing their earnings estimates are doing so because of deep costing cutting and productivity gains, and not so much from top line growth. But this is not the focus on this post.

What I was most shocked by during the show was Cramer’s statement, “Earnings this week will overshadow Europe and the unemployment figures….” My jaw dropped! Nothing could be further from the truth! Unemployment is a central theme in economics and politics at this critic juncture. The unemployment rate is at its highest since the early 1980s. We have roughly 10 million people unemployed. That is not a modest figure! The employment situation made the President do an about face and shift his focus from purely health care to JOBS and health care.

Across the Atlantic, the PIIGs (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, and Greece) debt situation has the entire world’s attention. Today the EU stated that they will aid Greece with their debt problems. Unfortunately, the details of this aide are sketchy at best and there was no mention of any assistance for any of the other debt-laden EU zone nations.

The employment and EU debt saga has totally eclipsed every aspect of the investment community. Sorry to say it, Jim was wrong about this one!

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Look for the Technology Sector to finish strong in 2010

Friday, February 12th, 2010

Hi-Tech stocks have a real good chance of being an extremely conducive place for investors to invest their money in 2010. Keep in mind that technology companies typically do not carry much debt on their balance sheets, which allows them to purchase other companies when the opportunities arise. In addition, technology companies do a lot of business in foreign economies and couple that with the falling dollar and prices of U.S. products will be very attractive to overseas customers.

There are certainly discussions out there about quality tech opportunities as presented here. In addition, to some of those names I have other areas you might want to consider as you look to garner profits in the technology sector over the course of 2010.

Some of the stocks that are poised to have a very rosy 2010 include Apple Computer (AAPL), Baidu Incorporated (BIDU) and Amazon.com (AMZN). All these stocks have tremendous fundamentals and are in a great position to takeoff to the upside. Another way to participate is to buy the QQQQ exchange traded fund, which closely mirrors the NASDAQ. For more aggressive investors you could purchase the QLD exchange traded fund which move twice as fast the QQQs.

Trading Tips to Help Cash in on Hi-tech Profits

One way to lower costs when thinking about trading in the hi-tech area is to use options. You can use straight calls or spread them to even lower the costs further. There are also the possibilities of implementing covered calls or selling puts on the underlying to lower the overall cost basis. All of these option trading tips can go a long way in improving your total return on investment.

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The Oil Addiction

Friday, February 12th, 2010

During a recent segment of Jim Cramer’s Mad Money which aired on Feb 1st, he highlighted Natural Gas. Jim interviewed CEO of EQT Murray Gerber. EQT is a 120-year-old company based out of Pittsburgh, PA, that drills natural gas in the Appalachian basin. EQT trades on the NYSE and as of the close on Feb 11, 2010 its closing stock price was 42.01, which is down YTD approximately 5%.

Cramer stated that he felt natural gas was a great oil alternative and didn’t understand why it doesn’t get more attention in America’s efforts to reduce her dependence on foreign oil sources. Cramer went so far to say that “If you are not for natural gas, then you are for buying foreign oil,” and I would have to agree. According to many natural gas experts America has at least 125 years of supply. T. Boone Pickens is probably the most notable leader in this alternative/transition energy phase. He states that “America is the Saudi Arabia of natural gas.”

Clearly the United States has been addicted to oil for quite some time. It is a hard addiction to shake! You would think that the 70’s oil embargoes, the Iran crisis in the late 70’s, and exponential price increases in 2008 would motivate the country to check into oil detox programs immediately. But just like any junkie, we still continue to look for our oil fix.

Natural gas prices are approximately $5.35 per MMBTU (10,000 million British Thermal Units) versus oil’s $73 a barrel. It is cleaner and cheaper then oil, so you would think the natural order of supply and demand theory would easily introduce natural gas as a better substitute and increase its overall usage throughout the country’s entire energy mix. But since this natural order has been disturbed, could possible mean that some outside force has interrupted this process, perhaps a political one, supported by a strong lobbyist organization?

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The Twitter Effect

Monday, December 14th, 2009

Few would disparage the growing potential of online social media in 2010 and in the years to come. Yet many businesses have only a vague idea about how to harness this powerful tool for business purposes. This will change in 2010. In fact, it is already changing. Some businesses already advertise for people who know their way around online social networking sites, understanding instinctively that engaging “experts” in this burgeoning field will help them increase their client base.

These online communities have begun to alter the way companies trade, and social media has played an ever greater role in the past few years bringing people together for business. In 2010 we will see a melding of all manner of social media, as Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebook, YouTube, and others increasingly interact with each other. Google (NASDAQ: Goog) will move this integration forward, and Google Wave, their new concept of an integrated social tool combined with real time communication, will be the new big thing for 2010. Google already controls YouTube, and it is a safe bet that it will begin to invest in other social media sites that it can incorporate into its own social media platform.

Marketing

Whether for multi-national corporations, small businesses, or individuals, the social media phenomenon allows easy access to customers and a means whereby a producer can market its products and services quickly and with minimal expense. The growth of Twitter has shown how networks can be easily grown, offering information to ever-expanding networks of potential customers. By sharing links to websites, a person can easily find out more about products and services, and purchase them, without even leaving their desk.

As the use of social media marketing grows, we will see ever more clever advertising to engage and persuade potential customers to buy. Traditional advertisers will move more dollars online, and advertising on other forms of media will wane.

Media

As newspapers, magazines, television, radio, and other media merge with each other and go online, the lines between different types of media companies will blur. Time Warner’s (NYSE: TWX) CNN already offers news blogs, many written by citizen reporters. Citizen reporters will become increasingly important, and though many will lament the death of the professional journalist, there will still be a place for those professionals who can cross the lines between television, radio, print, and online media. Journalism will not die; it will morph into something new.

Movies, however, will not die in 2010. Neither television nor the development of video, or later DVDs, killed the movie theaters. Downloading of movies from the Internet may very well take business away from physical video stores, instead moving this business completely online.

Customer Service

Companies with social media presences will allow conversations to develop between themselves and their customers. Usually this will be a good thing, allowing consumers to help companies make products or develop services that become increasingly more consumer friendly. People will become attached to certain providers, depending on their preferences, and niches will develop that will provide a more directed outlet for customer service.

For example, a person with young children will go to those social media sites where they can meet others with young children, and makers of children’s products can offer sponsored advice on all aspects of raising children. In the same manner too gamers can go to sites where they can get hints for their favorite online games, and the makers for those games can offer support. In this respect, look at the lines between customer service and marketing to become increasingly more hazy.

Social media also levels the playing field between large corporations, smaller business entities, and individuals. If something goes wrong in a business relationship, consumers will increasingly use social media to get their complaints heard. State Farm is finding this out the hard way, as a widow who claims that she was unfairly treated by the company has set up a website and consistently tweets her story to thousands. Customer service becomes increasingly important when an unhappy customer can spread their bad experience around the globe in minutes.

Virtualization of Business

The way employees work will change dramatically in the coming year due to social media. Meetings and conventions will become fewer as companies seek to save money by having virtual meetings in virtual worlds. Microblogging will become a common way to communicate between employees, and cell phones will become increasingly more a part of this communication. Social networking will create groups of people working together on projects, and it will not matter whether they are in the next room or on the other side of the world. Blogs will become training manuals, and will be updated regularly. They will also be utilized as marketing tools, as they are now, though blogging specialists will develop to fashion tools to help employees become ever more productive.

Other Stuff

Social media has not limited its reach only to business. In 2008, President Obama showed how social media can drive a campaign. Look for the Republicans to take a page from this book and use it to their advantage in the 2010 Congressional elections next year. We also saw this year how Twitter helped protesters in Iran organize against a repressive regime. Look for this type of use of technology to increase and to make people around the world freer.

Non-profit organizations have also used social media to get out their message and to raise funds. This will increase, as will their presence online as they use their social networking sites to educate the public.

All of these social media trends and more will influence society, business and the markets in 2010 and beyond.

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Look for the gold market to regain its momentum in 2010

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

Despite the recent retracement in the gold market there still is much more upside based on a very robust fundamental outlook. Consider: According to Bernanke’s latest comments the Federal Reserve does not plan on raising interest rates anytime soon, and huge deficits will be here for a while. This certainly leads to a continued bullish scenario for gold. In addition, you have countries like China, Russia and India increasing their gold purchasing plans for 2010.

Given this outlook there are a handful of fundamentally superior stocks within the gold sector that are poised to do quite well when gold takes off again. These include: GoldCorp (GG), Freeport-McMoran Gold & Copper (FCX), Gulf Resources (GFRE), and IAMGOLD Corp (IAG). All these stocks have great sales growth and positive cash flow but one that really stands out as a great buy is GoldCorp (GG).

GoldCorp is one of the largest precious-metal mining companies in the world, operating mainly in Canada and South America. The company produces more than 2.3 million ounces of gold annually and has about 45 million ounces in proved and probable reserves. What makes this company such a good buy is its tremendous operating margins. It costs GoldCorp $310 per ounce to mine gold, which is the lowest of all its competitors. As the uptrend in gold prices starts to resume again these low production costs spells huge profit growth for the company going forward (as well as a nice surge in the stock price).

Another way to invest in this secular uptrend is to invest in the exchange traded fund SPDR Gold Trust (GLD). The GLD price is in an uptrend and this uptrend is being confirmed by the up sloping On balance Volume (OBV) indicator. The up trending OBV indicator shows that volume is increasing on price up days and is decreasing on down days, which bolsters the technical case for the price uptrend to continue.

Combining this attractive technical profile with the solid fundamental picture for the gold sector renders this particular ETF a compelling buy and certainly is an effective way to capture profits from the continued uptrend with far less volatility.

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Emerging Markets Will Bring Big 2010 Profits for Prudent Investors

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

Both the fundamentals and technicals point to a very bullish 2010 forecast for the emerging markets, which is backed up by recent presentations.

For example, recently the World Bank raised its growth forecast in China for 2010. The strength of regions like China and Latin America really was crucial to powering through the worst of this global recession. While a single consumer in Brazil or Beijing doesn’t really compare to the purchasing power of a single American, the collective spending of a booming middle class in these emerging markets is huge.

Global Opportunities in 2010

Some emerging market stocks that look really good for 2010 include Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM), American Tower (AMT), CNOOC (CEO) and American Tower (AMT). All of these stocks have tremendous fundamentals and are attractive buys for 2010.

There are also two great exchange traded funds like iShares S&P Global Materials Sector Index Fund (MXI) and the iShares Emerging Market Trust (EEM) as a way to capitalize on the strength of the international stocks with far less volatility. The one I really like best is the EEM exchange traded fund. It’s in a strong price uptrend that is being confirmed by an up sloping On Balance Volume indicator.

The bottom line is the emerging market stock and ETFs are poised for growth in 2010. Cheers and Happy Investing!

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Cramer’s Jolly Retail Report is a Bit Ho-Ho-Hum

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

On last Thursday’s Mad Money episode, Jim Cramer sang the praises of the retail sector, telling viewers “the prevailing wisdom on Wall Street is just too negative”. While I agree that there is some truth to that, I don’t think the bulls are loose either. And an even bigger issue is the way many of the “iconic” brands that Cramer likes do business. Some of these change-resistant corporations have been slow to update their business models. But I think that the post-recession consumer market will dictate some changes to how retailers stay profitable and unless these companies adjust, they could be in big trouble.

Cramer and I see eye to eye on the housing sector. Thanks to the first time homebuyer’s credit, many consumers bought homes this year. Along with a new house comes a desire to fix it up and the trend toward home improvement has been clearly seen through the performance of a few of Cramer’s picks. Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:SHW) has performed well for the year, even during the recession. And Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Masco (NYSE:MAS) have done very well, both posting gains of more than 20 percent for the year. As the recession eases, I fully expect these stocks will continue to rise, as does Cramer.

On the other hand, Cramer likes retailers. Even the bloated, old-fashioned ones like Macy’s (NYSE:M). I think Macy’s is a disaster. The company is up 55 percent for the year, but it’s still only trading at around half of its year-high. And that’s with the retail season in full swing. Cramer also likes Target (NYSE:TGT), which is up substantially for the year and has almost recovered its trading high. Target definitely looks better than Macy’s to me, but the problem for both of these stores is that what’s saving them right now are their lesser-known housewares segments, while their main product departments have gone stagnant. Macy’s apparel is staying firmly on the shelf and, as Wal-Mart improves its product lines, Target has been steadily losing its appeal to mass-retailer audiences.

Online retailers, though, like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Overstock.com (NASDAQ:OSTK) are doing great. With the rise of Cyber Monday, I think that consumers will increasingly turn to the ease, convenience and comfort of online shopping. If so, I expect that online retail stocks will be on the upswing for some time.

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Merrill Acquisition Lands Bank of America in Hot Water

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

The Merrill Lynch deal probably sounded good at the time. But Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is still taking it on the chin from this ill-conceived idea. First, their stock plummeted. Then, their CEO was essentially forced out. Now, the company and some top execs will be facing charges from the Securities and Exchange Commission.

While no formal charges have been filed as of yet, SEC Enforcement Director Robert Khuzami stated that the agency would “vigorously pursue (its) charges against Bank of America and…prove (its) case in court”. The SEC claims that BofA held back from disclosing Merrill Lynch’s true financial position and its record bonus payments to shareholders, who then approved the merger. The SEC also charges that CEO Ken Lewis held back from telling investors that then-Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Fed Chief Ben Bernanke had pressured him into closing the Merrill deal.

For the SEC, which is still licking its wounds from Madoff-gate, this is a golden opportunity to reassert its regulatory control over a financial sector that has been free-wheeling for twenty years. For Bank of America, it’s another setback for a company that was just beginning to reclaim its financial footing. No successor for outgoing CEO Lewis has been named, but the next person who takes the top job at BofA would do well to be a little more transparent.

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